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Trump’s “Most-Favored-Nation” Drug Order Stirs Volatility in Global Pharma

Trump’s “Most-Favored-Nation” Drug Order Stirs Volatility in Global Pharma

Global pharmaceutical shares opened mixed on Monday after President Trump signed an executive order to cut U.S. prescription drug prices by 30%–80%—aligning them with the lowest prices paid in other high-income countries. While U.S. drugmakers recovered losses as the market had largely anticipated the move, European and Asian names trading heavily on U.S. revenues saw renewed swings.


Order Details & Market Reaction

  • “Most-Favored-Nation” Pricing: Forces Medicare Part B and D to pay no more than the lowest price any comparable nation pays for the same drug.

  • Trump’s Rationale: U.S. has <5% of global population but generates ~75% of Big Pharma’s revenues.

  • Immediate Impact:

    • Novo Nordisk (NVO): –1% at open, recovered later

    • Eli Lilly (LLY): Flat on the day, off session lows

    • U.S. Innovators (BMY, PFE, MRK): +2%–4% following the open as the move was widely telegraphed


      Industry Commentary & Legal Hurdles

      Analysts at Vital Knowledge warn:

      “It’s unclear if the order covers all government sales or just select programs[,] and it will face significant legal and political pushback. This aggressive move is broadly negative for the pharma/biotech sector.”


      Tracking Analyst Sentiment Shifts

      As brokers reassess price targets and recommendations, you can monitor real-time rating changes for major drugmakers—both U.S. and global—using the Bulk Ratings API, which aggregates upgrades and downgrades across the pharmaceutical universe:
      See Live Pharma Analyst Rating Changes


      What to Watch Next

      1. Regulatory Clarifications: HHS and CMS guidance on which drugs and purchase programs are covered will be critical.

      2. Legal Challenges: Lawsuits from industry groups could delay implementation and influence stock swings.

      3. Earnings Commentary: Q2 calls will reveal management’s updated pricing, volume, and margin assumptions—key for forecasting 2025 guidance.

        By combining real-time analyst rating feeds with upcoming regulatory milestones, investors can navigate the heightened volatility and identify which pharmaceutical franchises are best positioned to withstand the pricing overhaul.

        Want to know when to buy this stock? Download the Stocks 2 Buy app.

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